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Forecast Computer Models Predict UK Could Reach 40C For First Time This July


For the first time, the forecast of computer models shows that UK shares are likely to reach 40C this month.

A computer model from The Weather Outlook predicts that temperatures in the south-east of the UK could exceed 40C from July 11 onwards.

However, it is important to note that this prediction was proposed by a member of an ensemble prediction system. Predictions are likely to be more accurate if multiple members of the set are predicting the same conditions.

For the UK to reach 40C, the weather setup would have to bring the hottest air from Africa through Spain and France and then to the UK.

Even if it looks impossible right now, when the weather reaches 40C this month it will be a record-breaking moment as the current highest temperature recorded in the UK was 38.7ºC on July 25, 2019 at the Cambridge Botanical Gardens.

“Even if it’s possible, it’s not possible, even if the risk is the highest done,” said Simon Lee, a postdoctoral research scientist at Columbia University.

“No one can remember 40C representing a major global forecast system for the UK,” said Simon Lee, a postdoctoral research scientist at Columbia University.

“Especially if this forecast also predicts temperatures above 39C in a large area of ​​south-east England.

“Because the past hottest days in the UK have only seen a few areas exceed 38C, it’s not like any forecasters have seen before.”

The Met Office metrologist, Annie Shuttleworth, also shared her doubts.

Speaking to The Mirror, he said: “The most likely scenario for next week is temperatures in the lower 30s. Ahead there is little confidence – those high temperatures may remain for the rest of next week but may also remain to cool again.

That’s why it won’t reach 40C this month but meteorologists say the UK could hit scorching temperatures in the near future as a result of climate change.

“Severe weather events and rising temperatures are due to man-made global warming,” said Sky meteorologist Kirsty McCabe.

“New research shows that by the end of the century parts of the UK will see 40C every few years below the high emission scenario.”

“New research shows that by the end of the century parts of the UK will see 40C every few years below the high emission scenario.”

[Image: ExFlow via Shutterstock]



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